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Fossil Group (FOSL) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, price, valuation, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

Fossil Group
NasdaqGS•Consumer Cyclical•Footwear & Accessories
$5.11-0.04(-0.01%)Pre-market
Market Cap
$314.07M
P/S
0.3x
P/B
3.5x

Fossil Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company's products include traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. It also manufactures and distributes private label brands. The company offers its products under its proprietary brands, such as FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE, RELIC, and ZODIAC; and under the licensed brands, including ARMANI EXCHANGE, DIESEL, EMPORIO ARMANI, KATE SPADE NEW YORK, MICHAEL KORS, SKECHERS, and TORY BURCH. It sells its products through company-owned retail and outlet stores, department and specialty retail stores, mass market stores, e-commerce sites, licensed and franchised FOSSIL retail stores, retail concessions, and airlines, as well as operate stores under the WATCH STATION and WSI brands. The company was formerly known as Fossil, Inc. and changed its name to Fossil Group, Inc. in May 2013. Fossil Group, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.

D

How this company scores

WeakMetricSide Score: 23/100

Grade capped at D — Interest coverage below 1× (0.4x) — earnings cannot cover interest. Strongest: Cash & Earnings Quality (9/25); weakest: Balance Sheet & Red Flags (4/25).

Profitability6/25
Growth4/25
Balance Sheet & Red Flags4/25
Cash & Earnings Quality9/25
Grade capped at D
  • Interest coverage below 1× (0.4x) — earnings cannot cover interest.

Valuation vs. 5-year range

Today's multiple positioned against its own trailing range — a visual premium/discount check.

P/E · 23.0x5y range 16.9x – 204.2x
P/E 23.0x · near its 4-quarter median

Currently near its 4-quarter median.

P/S · 0.3x5y range 0.0x – 0.3x
P/S 0.3x · above its 20-quarter median

Currently above its 20-quarter median.

P/B · 3.5x5y range 0.2x – 3.5x

Watch items

Data-driven signals worth keeping an eye on across the last 8 quarters

High Risk

Margin Pressure

Red Flag

The company posted negative operating margins in recent quarters — core operations are unprofitable.

Earnings Quality

Red Flag

Free cash flow has been negative in 5 of the last 8 quarters — earnings are not translating to cash.

Price & Volume
Market Cap $314.07M

Metrics at a Glance

as of July 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$985.17M
7Q
Q. Revenue
$209.69M
2Q
TTM EBITDA
$5.86M
123%
TTM Op. Income
$-5.57M
86%
Q. Op. Income
$3.20M
62%
TTM Net Income
$-69.16M
10%
Q. Net Income
$-10.60M
404%
EPS
$-0.18
350%
Shares Out.
$59.04M
3Q
$985.17M in TTM revenue declined 9.1% YoY, reaching $209.69M last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $5.86M and TTM operating income of $-5.57M show growth is flowing through to the bottom line. However, net income is negative at $69.16M — growth is not yet reaching the bottom line. Across the last 8 quarters, TTM revenue has fallen for 7 consecutive quarters — a weakening trend.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

Gross Margin
62.4%
3Q
EBITDA Margin
3.0%
43%
Op. Margin
1.5%
60%
Net Margin
-5.1%
430%
Op. margin of 1.5% is down 2.3% YoY — costs are rising relative to revenue. Net margin at -5.1% and gross margin of 62.4% show how much of each revenue dollar survives to profit. Over the past year, operating margin is down 60% — a weakening trend.

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
N/A
P/S Ratio
0.3x
5Q
P/B Ratio
3.5x
5Q
P/S of 0.3x and P/B of 3.5x. P/S is low relative to typical market levels.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$653.14M
4Q
Cash
$78.95M
2Q
Long-Term Debt
$203.01M
23%
Book Value
$89.89M
4Q
D/E Ratio
2.3
105%
Debt/EBITDA
32.8
With $653.14M in assets and $203.01M in long-term debt, D/E is 2.3and book value is $89.89M — elevated leverage, meaning significant financial risk in a downturn. Over the past year, debt/equity is up 105% — a weakening trend.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$-9.19M
198%
TTM Free Cash Flow
$-41.21M
14%
FCF Margin
-4.2%
5%
FCF / Net Income
0.6
21%
TTM FCF of $-41.21M on $-9.19M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of 0.6x means cash covers only part of net income — earnings quality needs attention. Over the past year, free cash flow is up 14% — a weakening trend.

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· above its 20-quarter median

Currently above its 20-quarter median.

Leverage Risk

Watch

D/E ratio of 2.3 is elevated and rising. Watch for further debt accumulation.

Revenue Decline

Red Flag

TTM revenue has contracted 11.5% — significant decline indicating deteriorating demand.

Cash Burn

Watch

5 of the last 8 quarters had negative FCF — inconsistent cash generation raises sustainability concerns.

Share Dilution

Red Flag

Shares outstanding increased 11.0% — significant dilution, likely from stock compensation or capital raises.