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PROG Holdings (PRG) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NYSE•Industrials•Rental & Leasing Services
B
GoodMetricSide Score: 60/100
ProfitabilityProfit15/25
GrowthGrowth9/25
Balance Sheet & Red FlagsBalance13/25
Cash & Earnings QualityCash23/25

Strongest: Cash & Earnings Quality (23/25); weakest: Growth (9/25).

Price & Volume
Market Cap $1.84B

PROG Holdings, Inc., a financial technology holding company, provides payment options to consumers in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Progressive Leasing and Four. It owns Progressive Leasing, an in-store, app-based, and e-commerce point-of-sale lease-to-own solutions provider; and Four, which enables consumers of all credit backgrounds to pay for purchases over time through short-term, interest-free instalment buy-now-pay-later BNPL plans. The company offers Purchasing Power, that provides these underserved customers with alternatives to traditional financing options. The company was formerly known as Aaron's Holdings Company, Inc. and changed its name to PROG Holdings, Inc. in December 2020. PROG Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is based in Draper, Utah.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 24 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Moderate Moat

Operating margins are positive at ~8.5% on average, but show some variability — pricing power may be sensitive to market conditions.

Competitive Advantage

Strong Moat

Consistently high ROE averaging 25.0% suggests a durable competitive advantage and efficient capital allocation.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 24 quarters

Low Risk

Margin Pressure

Healthy

Margins are stable or improving at ~8.4% — no sign of cost or pricing stress.

Earnings Quality

Watch

FCF/Net Income has dropped below 0.7x in 3 quarters — monitor for earnings quality deterioration.

Leverage Risk

Healthy

D/E ratio is 1.1 — conservative capital structure with low financial risk.

Revenue Decline

Healthy

Revenue is stable or growing over recent quarters — demand appears durable.

Cash Burn

Watch

FCF turned negative in 2 of the last 8 quarters — occasional cash consumption.

Share Dilution

Healthy

Shares decreased 4.9% — net buybacks are reducing shares outstanding and boosting per-share value.

Metrics at a Glance

as of June 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$2.58B
2Q
Q. Revenue
$719.72M
19%
TTM EBITDA
$257.80M
2Q
TTM Op. Income
$220.67M
2Q
Q. Op. Income
$65.63M
2Q
TTM Net Income
$146.67M
32%
Q. Net Income
$37.03M
4%
EPS
$0.92
4%
Shares Out.
$40.18M
2Q
$2.58B in TTM revenue grew 2.6% YoY, reaching $719.72M last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $257.80M and TTM operating income of $220.67M shows growth is flowing through. Net income of $146.67M TTM confirms the company is converting revenue into profit. Revenue is growing modestly — monitor for acceleration or deceleration. Across the last 8 quarters, TTM revenue has risen for 2 consecutive quarters — a improving trend.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

EBITDA Margin
10.7%
3%
Op. Margin
9.1%
2Q
Net Margin
5.1%
19%
Op. margin of 9.1% is down 0.9% YoY — costs are rising relative to revenue. Net margin at 5.1%. Across the last 8 quarters, Operating margin has risen for 2 consecutive quarters — a improving trend.

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
12.5x
129%
P/S Ratio
0.7x
52%
P/B Ratio
2.3x
30%
At 12.5x P/E, the stock trades below market averages — potentially undervalued. P/S of 0.7x and P/B of 2.3x provide additional context. Assess whether the current multiple is justified by the company's growth and profitability trajectory. Over the past year, P/E is up 129% — a deteriorating trend.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$2.05B
4Q
Cash
$85.20M
62%
Long-Term Debt
$887.06M
Book Value
$805.34M
7Q
D/E Ratio
1.1
Debt/EBITDA
11.6
2Q
With $2.05B in assets and $887.06M in long-term debt, the D/E of 1.1and book value of $805.34M — reflects moderate leverage — debt is manageable but worth monitoring. Over the past year, Debt/equity is up 0% — a improving trend.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$106.24M
52%
TTM Free Cash Flow
$318.74M
46%
FCF Margin
12.3%
42%
FCF / Net Income
2.2
113%
TTM FCF of $318.74M on $106.24M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of 2.2x means earnings are well backed by actual cash — high-quality earnings. Over the past year, Free cash flow is up 46% — a improving trend.

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Cash Generation

Moderate Moat

6 of the last 8 quarters generated positive FCF. The company generally funds itself but has occasional cash consumption quarters.

Demand Durability

Moderate Moat

Revenue shows resilience with 5 of 7 quarters posting growth — demand is generally stable but has seen some soft patches.