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Ocular Therapeutix (OCUL) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NasdaqGM•Healthcare•Biotechnology
D
WeakMetricSide Score: 37/100
ProfitabilityProfit8/25
GrowthGrowth2/25
Balance Sheet & Red FlagsBalance21/25
Cash & Earnings QualityCash6/25

Strongest: Balance Sheet & Red Flags (21/25); weakest: Growth (2/25).

Price & Volume
Market Cap $1.88B

Ocular Therapeutix, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development and commercialization of therapies for retinal diseases and other eye conditions using its bioresorbable hydrogel-based formulation technology in the United States. The company markets DEXTENZA, a dexamethasone ophthalmic insert to treat post-surgical ocular inflammation and pain following ophthalmic surgery, as well as allergic conjunctivitis. It is also developing AXPAXLI, an axitinib intravitreal hydrogel that is in phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment of wet age-related macular degeneration and non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy; OTX-TIC, a travoprost intracameral hydrogel, which has completed phase 2 clinical trials for the treatment of open-angle glaucoma or ocular hypertension. The company has a license agreement and collaboration with AffaMed Therapeutics Limited for the development and commercialization of DEXTENZA and OTX-TIC. Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Bedford, Massachusetts.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 48 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Weak Moat

Operating margins are under pressure, averaging -478.0%. The business may lack pricing power or face rising costs.'

Competitive Advantage

Weak Moat

ROE is low or negative, suggesting limited competitive advantage or capital allocation challenges.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 48 quarters

High Risk

Margin Pressure

Red Flag

The company posted negative operating margins in recent quarters — core operations are unprofitable.

Earnings Quality

Red Flag

Free cash flow has been negative in 8 of the last 8 quarters — earnings are not translating to cash.

Leverage Risk

Healthy

D/E ratio is 0.1 — conservative capital structure with low financial risk.

Revenue Decline

Red Flag

TTM revenue has contracted 12.0% — significant decline indicating deteriorating demand.

Cash Burn

Red Flag

The last 8 consecutive quarters had negative FCF — the company is burning cash and may need external funding.

Share Dilution

Red Flag

Shares outstanding increased 35.1% — significant dilution, likely from stock compensation or capital raises.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$52.04M
13%
Q. Revenue
$10.79M
2Q
TTM EBITDA
$-291.25M
7Q
TTM Op. Income
$-299.44M
7Q
Q. Op. Income
$-93.34M
7Q
TTM Net Income
$-290.50M
4Q
Q. Net Income
$-88.61M
38%
EPS
$-0.4
5%
Shares Out.
$224.10M
7Q
$52.04M in TTM revenue declined 12.8% YoY, reaching $10.79M last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $-291.25M and TTM operating income of $-299.44M shows growth is flowing through. However, net income is negative at $290.50M — growth is not yet reaching the bottom line. Revenue is contracting — assess whether this is cyclical or structural. Over the past year, TTM revenue is down 13% — a improving trend.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

Gross Margin
87.7%
1%
EBITDA Margin
-853.6%
2Q
Op. Margin
-865.5%
2Q
Net Margin
-821.6%
2Q
Op. margin of -865.5% is down 268.0% YoY — costs are rising relative to revenue. Net margin at -821.6% and gross margin of 87.7% — earnings take a bigger bite when COGS stays lean.. Across the last 8 quarters, Operating margin has fallen for 2 consecutive quarters — a deteriorating trend.

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
N/A
P/S Ratio
36.2x
74%
P/B Ratio
3.2x
2Q
P/S of 36.2x and P/B of 3.2x. A high P/S suggests growth expectations are priced in.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$732.53M
80%
Cash
$666.70M
91%
Long-Term Debt
$72.06M
7Q
Book Value
$581.57M
119%
D/E Ratio
0.1
52%
Debt/EBITDA
N/A
With $732.53M in assets and $72.06M in long-term debt, the D/E of 0.1and book value of $581.57M — shows a conservative capital structure — the company has a strong financial cushion to weather downturns. Over the past year, Debt/equity is down 52% — a deteriorating trend.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$-65.99M
2Q
TTM Free Cash Flow
$-240.94M
7Q
FCF Margin
-463.0%
7Q
FCF / Net Income
0.8
2Q
TTM FCF of $-240.94M on $-65.99M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of 0.8x means earnings are well backed by actual cash — high-quality earnings. Across the last 8 quarters, Free cash flow has fallen for 7 consecutive quarters — a deteriorating trend.

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Cash Generation

Weak Moat

Only 0 of the last 8 quarters had positive FCF — the business may require external capital to sustain operations.

Demand Durability

Weak Moat

Revenue has been flat or declining over recent quarters, which may indicate eroding demand or competitive pressure.